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Current Conditions

Temp: 41.9°F
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Waynesville , NC

Forecast Last Updated at Thursday, December 18, 2014 at 5:23PM

Decreasing Clouds Tonight

Clouds decrease tonight leading to a mostly sunny start to the day Friday. However, clouds quickly increase in the afternoon with spotty light rain breaking out late Friday night. Light rain showers continue on into Saturday, tapering off by the afternoon hours. Of note, we do not expect Saturday to be a washout at all and some locations may not see much rain at all. The next system is quick on the heels of Saturday’s system and is expected to bring another round of rain to western NC late Sunday afternoon into early Monday morning. For details on the all-important Christmas Day forecast, check out the discussion section below.

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Hi: 55 Lo: 28

Mostly to partly cloudy tonight; NW wind 5-15 mph

Hi: 49 Lo: 33

Increasing clouds; Spotty light rain develops late Fri. night; North wind 5-10 mph

Hi: 39 Lo: 32

Cloudy with daytime rain showers (light snow or flurries may mix in on the highest ridge tops); Light south wind

Hi: 46 Lo: 34

Mostly cloudy; Rain possible late-day through Sun. night

Hi: 46 Lo: 35

Mostly cloudy; Cool; AM rain showers possible

Further Out

Tuesday - Mostly cloudy; Showers possible in the afternoon & Tue. night; High near 50 degrees; Low in the mid 30s
Wednesday - Mostly to partly cloudy; High in the mid 40s; Low in the upper 20s

Forecast Discussion

Clouds linger this evening behind the upper level disturbance that passed through earlier today. However, we expect at least some partial clearing tonight as it moves further away.

Attention then turns to an area of low pressure that is forecast to develop along the Gulf Coast tonight, and then move east to off the SE coast by Saturday. We have been talking about this system for several days now. Afternoon model data continues to suggest this system will only have a minimal impact on western NC with many locations not seeing much precipitation at all. We still think some light precipitation will break out late Friday night and then continue on into the day Saturday. The system still doesn’t have much cold air to work with either and because of this we continue to expect mostly light rain across the SW NC mountains and on into the NC Foothills. Of note, though, the highest elevations of SW NC (ie. above 4000’) could see some light snow or flurries mix in at times (little to no accumulation, though).

The weather pattern remains active on into Christmas week. The next system is forecast to ride up along the East Coast Sunday and Monday bringing another round of rain. The heaviest rain will likely hold off until Sunday night, but light rain could arrive as early as Sunday afternoon. The rain tapers off on Monday, but clouds will stick around for awhile. Yet another system is forecast to move through Tuesday / Tuesday night with more rain showers possible. On the back side of that system, enough cold air may work in for flurries or snow showers Tuesday night in the mountains. Flurries or snow showers may linger into Wednesday across the mountains, but otherwise dry conditions can be expected into Christmas Eve. Right now, Christmas Day looks mostly dry and cool.


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